Welcome to 11 Day Picks – Kharron
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Carolina @ Florida (7:05 PM EST)
CBB PINNACLE ANNIHILATOR BOOKIE BUSTERWAYNES top games are winning on a 67% pace for the past six months. Yes, we just lost a very close one Wednesday and admit we can lose. But RARELY IN BACK TO BACK GAMES like this one. Over-all; 30-15 for six months with the plays YOU DEMAND WE WIN!!
The LSU defense is below-average allowing an average of 75.2 points per game. That doesn’t bode well for the Tigers against the likes of a very good Arkansas team; playing at home to boot. Arkansas defeated SEC conference-leading Alabama on Wednesday 81-66 to cut the lead of Crimson Tide atop the SEC to 2 ½ games over the Razorbacks. I like catching them Saturday on a high note. Arkansas is also powered by a high scoring offense which averages 82.4 points per game. There’s excitement in Fayetteville as Arkansas has won five straight and eight of the last nine and is being powered by an excellent offense that is shooting 45.1% overall and 33.7% from long range. Arkansas is allowing an average of 69.3 points per game at home. The Razorbacks are 7-0 ATS in the last seven games against a team from the SEC. Lastly, Arkansas will also have an additional incentive as they were defeated by LSU earlier this 92-76 in Baton Rouge and will look to avenge that as they did against Alabama.
CBB GOLD STANDARD BLOWOUT (4-1 streak) WINNERWAYNE and this team are BOTH ON A HOT STREAK having won six of seven (6-1) and 5-0 the past two days. The Insiders and Inner Circle Associates are ALL IN! As you should be!!
Gold Standard—-Florida St
Going for the season sweep. These teams faced off one time this season back on Jan 16 where Florida State picked up a 82-75 home win. North Carolina will have to play well in their conference tournament for a decent seed because they’re losing this game. The Seminoles are the top team in the ACC with a 14-3 record and a 10-2 conference record. FSU is talented enough to make the Final Four. The North Carolina Tar Heels have been an average defense and need to figure out a way to defend the rim much better to have success against this team. An additional problem for the Tar Heels is from the offensive side of the ball. The adjusted offensive ratings are both solid as the Seminoles are eighth in the nation with a 118.9 rating while the Tar Heels are 62nd in the nation with a 110 rating. The better the competition the more glaring this becomes. The outcome really comes down from behind the arc. Three-point shooting is the difference between these programs. Florida State is shooting 43.1 percent from beyond the arc in their last three games while North Carolina is 34 percent from three in the same span.
CBB METRICS ALGORITHM GAME OF THE MONTH IIWAYNE is going with back to back winners here. An easy winner yesterday and a bigger winner today. The metrics ( Root Reserve) based on his algorithm’s is “all systems go”. This play has been developing all week long. Now it’s a HUGE PLAY after confirming the point spread.
The South Carolina Gamecocks are not playing well right now and have struggled on the road, losing six of their last seven games. There’s been no offense on the road as they’re averaging 62.3 points per game in their last three road games, and are facing a defense that doesn’t give up a lot of points at home. Their struggles are consistently offense so expect them to struggle again in this game. The Gamecocks have also been deficient on the defensive end, and have given up over 90 points in two of their last three games. With the Bulldogs scoring over 80 points in four of their last five games, the Gamecocks will have a hard time slowing them down certainty making Georgia the best bet here. With the Gamecocks giving up 77.7 points per game on the road, expect the Bulldogs to score enough points to crush South Carolina. Look for a solid 12 point difference in the final score.
Bantamweight: Jimmie Rivera vs. Pedro Munhoz Feb 27, 2021 UFC VEGAS 20
Jimmie Rivera won 20 fights in a row before running into some struggles against the Bantamweight elite, losing three out of four bouts. Rivera still had some great moments in his loss to now-champion Petr Yan, and he showed all his counter punching and wrestling skill to handle Cody Stamann last time out.
Munhoz has a granite chin. Munhoz is happy to sling leather in the pocket at any time, loves to rip calf kicks, and has one of the best guillotines on the roster.
The first bout was competitive, but ultimately, Rivera’s ability to control range and his generally sharper boxing shifted the small margins into his favor. Almost six years later, has anything changed regarding how their skills match up? Munhoz has become a sharper low kicker, but Rivera still has him outgunned in that regard. Otherwise, Rivera’s crisp counter left hook and footwork are still superior to Munhoz’s pressure and aggression.
The first bout was a split-decision, and this fight will likely be highly competitive too. All the same, the style match up still favors Rivera, forcing Munhoz to rely on a knockdown or guillotine to change the tide.
Prediction: Rivera via decision
Prediction: Rivera via decision
Montana de la Rosa vs. Mayra Bueno Silva February 27, 2021 UFC VEGAS 20This is a wrestler vs. grappler battle. De la Rosa started her UFC career strong with three straight wins, establishing herself as a potential Flyweight contender, only to lose two of three. The Texan is a strong wrestler with a tight top game, but she has struggled on the feet when unable to force her wrestling game. Meanwhile, Borella is a solid jiu-jitsu fighter but has weak stand-up. She still has a long way to go to become a complete fighter.
This is a simple prediction based on a single question: Can Borella sweep and/or submit her way to victory? While fighting from one’s back is a more viable path to victory in women’s mixed martial arts (MMA), it’s still a low percentage game. De la Rosa is the far better wrestler, and she’s a talented grappler herself. She’s shown a smart top game in the past and has only been submitted by Mackenzie Dern.
While I would never be surprised by an armbar from guard in an unranked women’s Flyweight fight, smart money remains on de la Rosa.
Prediction: De la Rosa via decision
Prediction: De la Rosa via decision
Jessica Andrade vs Valentina Shevchenko Apr 24 Sat 2021 – UFC 261The odds were just released today, Feb 24, 2021 with Valentina Shevchenko -335 and Jessica Andrade +275. When the fight was announced I thought Shevchenko should be a 5:1 favorite. After thinking about it I settled on 4:1. So there is value laying -335. Shevchenko's only losses in the last ten years were to the GOAT; Amanda Nunes and she took her to decision both times. Many people thought Shevchenko won one of those fights including yours truly as she lost 3 1/2 years ago to Nunes by split decision, her last loss. This is Shevchenko's fight to lose. Though Andrade is tough she can't match Shevchenko's speed. Shevchenko wins by Decision or late TKO. Lay it and laugh.
Shevchenko by Decision or late TKO.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane Feb 27, 2021; Round and Method of Victory
|Let's look at the proposition odds listed below. The bookies think this fight won't go the distance and the likely outcome is Gane by KO/TKO. I agree, Gane has more ways to win this fight as Rozenstuik only chance is by KO/TKO at odds of +275. The play is Gane by TKO Round 3.|
The play is Gane by TKO Round 3